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Reg. No. INH000026381
Registration granted by SEBI, enlistment with BSE and certification from NISM in no way guarantee the performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.
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Explore all previous newsletters here Direction • Decision • Discipline
This Week in Markets 📈
NIFTY 50
Weekly Movement
-0.45%
Sideways to negative movement, reflecting mild pressure across the benchmark index.
BANKNIFTY
Weekly Movement
-0.20%
Sideways movement, with banking stocks remaining broadly balanced during the week.
SENSEX
Weekly Movement
-0.56%
Sideways to negative movement, with mild pressure across large-cap stocks.
NIFTY Midcap 100
Weekly Movement
+0.54%
Sideways to positive movement, with selective strength across midcap stocks.
NIFTY Smallcap 100
Weekly Movement
+0.73%
Sideways to positive movement, showing continued selective strength in smallcaps.
India VIX
Weekly Movement
-0.70%
Falling volatility suggests improved comfort and relatively calmer market sentiment.
FII vs DII : The Weekly Battle
This Week's Flow
FIIs
Sold
₹2,060.24 Cr
Till 28 Aug 26
DIIs
Bought
₹19,309.93 Cr
Till 28 Aug 26
What Changed This Week
Both FIIs and DIIs were active, but DII purchases were significantly stronger, providing meaningful domestic support to the market.
Sector Spotlight
The Week That Moved Markets
1. The Indian Hotels Company
IHCL and Oriental Hotels announced a merger that will consolidate the hotel businesses under IHCL and simplify the group’s hospitality structure.
2. Oriental Hotels
The company announced its proposed merger with IHCL, marking a significant restructuring in the listed hospitality space.
3. TVS Supply Chain Solutions
Signed a strategic MoU with Japan’s Sankyu to collaborate across supply-chain and engineering services. Sankyu also intends to acquire a 0.5% equity stake in the company.
4. Ather Energy
Approved a ₹1,200 crore preferential fundraise through shares and warrants, including an investment by the India-Japan Fund and additional participation from Hero MotoCorp.
5. Netweb Technologies
Successfully raised ₹1,200 crore through a QIP, strengthening funding capacity for expansion in high-performance computing and AI infrastructure.
6. Bharat Electronics
Secured an additional order worth about ₹730 crore, adding to its defence electronics order book and reinforcing demand visibility for the defence manufacturing sector.
7. NBCC
Received a ₹121.74 crore order for construction of 170 school buildings in Rajasthan. The company also sold 111 residential units in Noida for about ₹416.53 crore through an e-auction.
8. Tata Steel
Invested about ₹1,340 crore in its wholly owned subsidiary T Steel Holdings, providing additional capital for its overseas operations.
9. Fedbank Financial Services
Approved an increase in its borrowing limit to ₹23,000 crore and plans to raise up to ₹2,500 crore through non-convertible debentures.
10. Lenskart Solutions
Witnessed an institutional block transaction of about ₹1,857 crore, with several domestic and global institutions buying shares as Alpha Wave exited its investment.
🌍 Major Global Developments This Week
1. US–Iran Sanctions
The US expanded sanctions targeting Iran-linked entities and sectors, increasing pressure on Tehran and keeping global investors focused on energy supply and geopolitical risks.
2. Strait of Hormuz
Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remained disrupted amid continuing US-Iran tensions, keeping energy transportation and refined-product markets under close watch.
3. US–Canada Trade Tensions
The US imposed a 50% tariff on Canadian goods after trade negotiations broke down, while Canada announced matching countermeasures, raising concerns over wider North American trade disruption.
4. US Technology & AI
Nvidia reported strong results and maintained a robust AI growth outlook, while its reported agreement to acquire Hugging Face highlighted continued consolidation and investment across the AI ecosystem.
5. Russia–Ukraine
The continuing conflict remained a source of geopolitical and energy-market uncertainty, with developments involving Russian and Ukrainian energy infrastructure adding to global risk concerns.
6. Global Equity Flows
Global equity funds recorded their first weekly outflow in 13 weeks as investors reduced exposure ahead of major AI earnings and the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole policy signals.
🏛️ Economic & Policy Developments
1. US Federal Reserve
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signalled that further rate increases could be necessary if inflation does not move clearly toward the 2% target, making inflation and employment data increasingly important for policy expectations.
2. US Inflation
The latest PCE inflation readings remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, reinforcing concerns that inflation could remain persistent.
3. India Industrial Production
India’s industrial production expanded strongly in July, with manufacturing and electricity output supporting overall industrial activity and indicating continued momentum in domestic production.
4. India Foreign Exchange Reserves
India’s foreign exchange reserves rose by about $12.4 billion to a record $729.3 billion for the week ended August 21, strengthening the country’s external liquidity position.
5. India Monetary & Currency Policy
The RBI continued to closely manage currency-market volatility as the rupee remained around the ₹95–96 per dollar zone amid oil-price movements and global dollar fluctuations.
🛢️ Commodities & Currency Developments
1. Crude Oil
Brent and WTI crude posted weekly declines as markets assessed the impact of Iran-related sanctions, potential developments around the Strait of Hormuz and expectations for global demand.
2. Natural Gas
Natural gas markets remained sensitive to geopolitical developments, supply disruptions and changing expectations for energy demand across major consuming regions.
3. Gold
Gold fell sharply late in the week after the Fed Chair’s hawkish comments strengthened expectations of tighter US monetary policy and supported the dollar.
4. Silver
Silver also declined sharply alongside gold as higher US rate expectations increased pressure on precious metals.
5. US Dollar Index
The dollar strengthened toward the end of the week as markets reassessed US interest-rate expectations following the Federal Reserve Chair’s Jackson Hole remarks.
6. Indian Rupee
The rupee remained relatively range-bound against the US dollar, with softer crude prices providing some support while RBI intervention helped limit excessive currency volatility.
📖 Why It Matters
US monetary-policy expectations have become a major driver of global bond yields, currencies, precious metals and equity valuations.
Middle East tensions and uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz continue to influence crude oil, shipping costs and inflation risks.
Strong Indian corporate activity across defence, AI infrastructure, hospitality, financial services and industrials remains important for sector-specific market sentiment.
India’s improving foreign-exchange reserves and resilient industrial activity provide important macroeconomic support amid global uncertainties.
Trade tensions, particularly between the US and Canada, together with US–Iran sanctions, are keeping global supply chains and geopolitical risks firmly in focus.
If NIFTY subsequently breaks below an important previous Higher Low, the bullish structure may weaken or change.
Why It Matters
Market structure helps answer one of the most important trading questions:
"What is price actually doing?"
It can help you:
Identify the prevailing trend
Find potential trend-change signals
Place more logical stop-losses
Avoid buying aggressively during a downtrend
Understand whether a breakout has changed the structure
Common Mistake
Don't treat every small swing as a major market-structure point.
On a 5-minute chart, you may see dozens of minor highs and lows. Always consider the timeframe and significance of the swing.
Also, a single candle breaking a previous high/low does not automatically mean the entire trend has reversed.
Uptrend = HH + HL. Downtrend = LH + LL. Learn to read price structure before chasing indicators.
Pro Tip
Try marking only the major swing highs and swing lows on a clean NIFTY chart before adding RSI, MACD or moving averages.
Community Win
Wisdom of the Week
“The biggest investing errors come not from factors that are informational or analytical, but from psychological ones.”
— Howard Marks
Learning Takeaway
Investing decisions are often influenced by emotions such as fear, greed, overconfidence, and the desire to follow the crowd.
Having more information does not automatically lead to better decisions if emotions control how that information is interpreted.
A practical lesson is to build a decision-making process that encourages patience, self-awareness, and rational thinking—especially when markets become emotional.
• The views, opinions, charts, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only.
• Securities/instruments mentioned are for illustration and learning purposes and should not be construed as investment recommendations or advice.
• Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. Please read all related documents carefully before investing.
• Past performance does not guarantee future results.
• Readers should conduct their own research and assess their risk profile before making any investment decisions.
• Student's personal achievement. Results vary and depend on individual effort, discipline, and market conditions. This achievement is independent of our research or stock recommendation services.
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• Neither the publisher nor its affiliates shall be responsible for any direct or indirect losses arising from the use of this content.
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• This communication is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or recommendation. Please make decisions based on your own research and risk assessment.
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