Weekly Newsletter | Makemyinvest Tradesting Wrap #019 🚀


Makemyinvest Tradesting Newsletter
Weekly Learning & Market Insights – Issue #019
13 Sep 2026


Verified Research Analyst
Tapas Chandra Baskey
SEBI Registered Research Analyst  •  Reg. No. INH000026381
Registration granted by SEBI, enlistment with BSE and certification from NISM in no way guarantee the performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.

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Direction • Decision • Discipline

This Week in Markets 📈

NIFTY 50
Weekly Movement
-2.14%
Strong negative movement, with broad-based selling pressure weighing on the benchmark index.
BANKNIFTY
Weekly Movement
-1.54%
Strong negative movement, reflecting significant weakness across banking stocks.
SENSEX
Weekly Movement
-2.45%
Strong negative movement, indicating pronounced selling pressure across large-cap stocks.
NIFTY Midcap 100
Weekly Movement
-1.65%
Strong negative movement, pointing to heightened selling pressure across midcap stocks.
NIFTY Smallcap 100
Weekly Movement
-1.07%
Strong negative movement, with smallcap stocks also facing broad-based pressure.
India VIX
Weekly Movement
+8.36%
Rising volatility signals increased caution and a more uncertain market environment.
FII vs DII : The Weekly Battle
This Week's Flow
 
FIIs
Sold
₹1,795.19 Cr
Till 11 Sep 26
DIIs
Bought
₹6,419.46 Cr
Till 11 Sep 26
What Changed This Week
DIIs stepped in with strong net buying, comfortably outweighing FII selling and providing meaningful domestic support amid broad-based market weakness.

Sector Spotlight

The Week That Moved Markets

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries

  • Moody’s and S&P assigned investment-grade ratings to Sun Pharma in connection with its proposed $11.75 billion acquisition of Organon, keeping the large pharmaceutical transaction in focus.

Coforge

  • Chairman O P Bhatt resigned as Non-Executive Independent Director and Chairman following issues identified in an internal audit concerning the recent board-evaluation process.

Dilip Buildcon

  • Emerged as the successful bidder for a project worth about ₹1,800 crore from the Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board, adding to its infrastructure order pipeline.

Premier Energies

  • Signed a binding term sheet with RCT India to establish a 12 GWh battery energy-storage manufacturing facility in Telangana, with the first phase planned at 6 GWh.

PVR INOX

  • Opened a ₹300 crore share buyback, adding a significant capital-allocation development for the multiplex operator amid continued focus on the entertainment sector.

Shiprocket

  • Reported Q1 revenue growth of about 34% year-on-year to ₹592 crore, while its quarterly loss narrowed, indicating improvement in operating performance.

REC

  • Launched a pilot for India’s first tokenised corporate bond issuance, marking an important development for digitalisation of the domestic debt market.

Biocon

  • A large block transaction involving approximately 1% of the company’s equity was reported as a private-equity investor moved to reduce its holding.

IRB Infrastructure Developers

  • Reported strong toll-revenue growth, keeping road infrastructure and toll-road operators in focus amid continued government spending on transport infrastructure.

Neogen Chemicals

  • Launched a qualified institutional placement with a floor price of ₹2,189.73 per share, providing the company with a potential route to raise growth capital.

Adani Power

  • Remained in focus after developments relating to its proposed acquisition and revival of a stranded hydro-power asset in Uttarakhand.

HDFC Bank

  • Remained in focus following a large institutional transaction involving shares worth about ₹638 crore, with several domestic and global institutions participating.

🌍 Major Global Developments This Week

US–Iran Conflict

  • Renewed military escalation between the US and Iran intensified concerns over energy supplies, shipping security and the broader inflationary impact of the conflict.

Strait of Hormuz

  • Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained severely disrupted, while attacks involving tankers and regional infrastructure heightened concerns over global oil and LNG supplies.

BRICS Summit

  • BRICS leaders meeting in New Delhi adopted a joint declaration calling for restraint in the Middle East and opposing unilateral tariffs and sanctions, while promoting greater cooperation among emerging economies.

India–China Relations

  • Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping held bilateral discussions on improving relations, trade imbalances, market access and maintaining peace along the border.

US–China Trade

  • Trade restrictions and tariff-related uncertainty remained important global market themes, particularly for manufacturing, technology, semiconductors and global supply chains.

Russia–Ukraine

  • Continued attacks on energy and logistics infrastructure kept European energy security and global commodity markets exposed to geopolitical risks.

🏛️ Economic & Policy Developments

European Central Bank

  • The ECB raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, taking the deposit rate to 2.50%, as higher energy costs pushed inflation well above its 2% target.

US Inflation

  • US CPI increased 0.4% month-on-month in August, while annual inflation remained at 3.4%. Core CPI rose 0.3% during the month, keeping inflation and monetary policy firmly in focus.

US Federal Reserve

  • Higher-than-expected monthly inflation pressure increased expectations of a rate hike at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, pushing US Treasury yields higher.

India Monetary Policy

  • The RBI announced open-market sales of government bonds worth ₹1 lakh crore across three tranches, signalling a significant move to absorb surplus banking-system liquidity.

India Foreign Institutional Flows

  • Foreign investors remained net sellers during the week, while domestic institutions continued providing support through substantial purchases, creating an important counterbalance in the Indian market.

NSE IPO

  • The National Stock Exchange announced a price band of ₹1,700–₹1,785 per share for its IPO, with the issue expected to raise about ₹22,662 crore and open for subscription on September 17.

🛢️ Commodities & Currency Developments

Crude Oil

  • Brent crude briefly moved above $109 per barrel as Middle East supply concerns intensified. It later eased on reports of possible diplomatic discussions but still gained more than 8% for the week.

Natural Gas

  • US natural-gas futures declined about 4.8% during the week as storage injections exceeded expectations and seasonal demand softened, while European gas markets remained sensitive to LNG supply disruptions.

Gold

  • Gold recovered toward the end of the week on dip-buying but remained lower for the week as higher US inflation and rising rate expectations reduced demand for non-yielding assets.

Silver

  • Silver rebounded on Friday but still ended the week lower, with higher bond yields and expectations of tighter US monetary policy weighing on precious metals.

US Dollar Index

  • The dollar remained relatively firm as higher US inflation and Treasury yields strengthened expectations for tighter monetary policy, although the broader dollar index still recorded a modest weekly decline.

Indian Rupee

  • The rupee weakened to around ₹95.55 per dollar during the week as surging crude prices increased import costs and foreign selling added pressure on the currency.

📖 Why It Matters

  • Rising crude prices and disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz are increasing inflation risks and putting pressure on energy-importing economies such as India.
  • The ECB’s rate hike and sticky US inflation are reinforcing the global higher-for-longer interest-rate theme, keeping bond yields and currency movements important for equities.
  • India’s strong domestic institutional buying is providing some cushion against continued foreign investor selling and global risk aversion.
  • BRICS discussions on local-currency settlements, trade cooperation and supply-chain resilience highlight the gradual evolution of global economic and financial relationships.
  • Corporate activity remains strong across pharmaceuticals, infrastructure, energy storage, technology and capital markets, creating significant stock-specific developments despite a challenging broader market environment.


Concept of the Week: Divergence

Definition

Divergence occurs when price and a technical indicator move in different directions.

It can sometimes signal that the current momentum is weakening—even though price has not yet reversed.

How It Works

The two common types are:

  • Bullish Divergence: Price makes a Lower Low, while an indicator such as RSI makes a Higher Low.
  • Bearish Divergence: Price makes a Higher High, while RSI makes a Lower High.

The important point: divergence is a warning, not a guaranteed reversal signal.

Example — NIFTY

Suppose NIFTY falls:

24,800 → 24,500 → 24,300

Price has made a Lower Low.

But RSI shows:

32 → 35 → 39

RSI has made a Higher Low.

This is Bullish Divergence.

It suggests that although NIFTY made a new low, the downward momentum may be weakening.

A trader would then look for additional confirmation—such as a breakout of a swing high or a bullish price-action pattern.

Why It Matters

Divergence can help traders:

  • Identify weakening momentum
  • Spot potential trend exhaustion
  • Avoid blindly chasing an extended move
  • Look for confirmation before entering a reversal trade

Common Mistake

The biggest mistake is treating divergence as an automatic buy or sell signal.

A stock can remain in a strong trend and show divergence multiple times before actually reversing.

Key Takeaway

Divergence doesn't tell you that price must reverse—it tells you to pay closer attention.

Pro Tip

Use divergence as an early warning system, then combine it with market structure, support/resistance, and price action for confirmation.

Community Win

Wisdom of the Week

“Know what you own, and know why you own it.”
— Peter Lynch

Learning Takeaway

Clarity beats complexity in investing.
If you cannot explain why you own something, you may be relying on noise rather than conviction.
Action lesson: Before making a decision, write down your thesis in one sentence—and know what would prove it wrong.



My Content of This Week

video preview

YouTube Video Link

LinkedIn Post Link

Book I Am Reading and Recommend

Keep Learning. Keep Tradesting!!! 🚀

Cheers,
Tapas Chandra
SEBI Registered Research Analyst | INH000026381
PGP (Research Analysis) | CMT Level-2 Cleared |
Author – Invest or Regret | Ex-JPMorgan Chase

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