Weekly Newsletter | Makemyinvest Tradesting Wrap #015 πŸš€


Makemyinvest Tradesting Newsletter
Weekly Learning & Market Insights – Issue #015
​
16 Aug 2026


βœ“ Verified Research Analyst
Tapas Chandra Baskey
SEBI Registered Research Analyst  β€’  Reg. No. INH000026381
Registration granted by SEBI, enlistment with BSE and certification from NISM in no way guarantee the performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.

Thank you for being part of Tradesting Weekly πŸš€
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Direction β€’ Decision β€’ Discipline

This Week in Markets πŸ“ˆ

NIFTY 50

Weekly Movement

-0.70%

The index remained under mild pressure, indicating a sideways to negative market tone.

BANKNIFTY

Weekly Movement

-0.68%

Banking stocks saw mild selling pressure, keeping the sector in a sideways to negative phase.

SENSEX

Weekly Movement

-0.65%

Large-cap equities remained slightly weak, reflecting a cautious and mildly negative tone.

NIFTY Midcap 100

Weekly Movement

+0.83%

Midcap stocks outperformed the broader market, showing steady buying interest despite weakness in large caps.

NIFTY Smallcap 100

Weekly Movement

-0.55%

Smallcaps remained mildly weak, pointing to selective profit-taking and a cautious risk appetite.

India VIX

Weekly Movement

-7.01%

Falling volatility indicates improved market comfort, despite the weakness seen in the major indices.

FII vs DII : The Weekly Battle

This Week's Flow

FIIs

Bought

β‚Ή1,228.24 Cr

Till 14 Aug 26

DIIs

Bought

β‚Ή9,285.63 Cr

Till 14 Aug 26

What Changed This Week

Both FIIs and DIIs were net buyers, but DII purchases were significantly stronger, providing meaningful domestic support to the market.

Sector Spotlight

The Week That Moved Markets

1. Tata Motors

  • Tata Motors reported quarterly results that kept the auto sector in focus, with the market closely tracking profitability and demand trends across its businesses.

2. Tata Group

  • N. Chandrasekaran announced that he will not seek another term as Tata Sons chairman, triggering a major leadership succession process across the group.

3. Godrej Consumer Products

  • The company reported its June-quarter results and considered an interim dividend, keeping the consumer-goods sector in focus amid changing input-cost conditions.

4. Hindustan Copper

  • Hindustan Copper reported a 163% year-on-year jump in Q1 profit to β‚Ή353 crore, while revenue increased to β‚Ή937 crore, highlighting strong copper-sector performance.

5. NMDC

  • NMDC reported Q1 profit of β‚Ή2,007 crore and a 26% increase in production, highlighting continued strength in domestic iron-ore output.

6. Bharat Forge

  • Bharat Forge reported a Q1 consolidated loss of β‚Ή90 crore, mainly due to exceptional items, despite 19% revenue growth during the quarter.

7. LG Electronics India

  • LG Electronics India reported strong quarterly performance, with the stock reacting positively as investors assessed revenue momentum and its full-year business outlook.

8. BSE

  • BSE will replace Wipro in the Nifty 50 index from September 30 following the latest index review, increasing the exchange’s representation in India’s benchmark index.

9. PDS

  • PDS entered into a multi-year sourcing partnership with a French retailer covering more than $250 million in annual apparel sourcing volume, strengthening its international sourcing business.

10. Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company

  • The company appointed Anil Raghavan as Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, marking a change in senior management leadership.

🌍 Major Global Developments This Week

11. U.S.–Iran Tensions

  • Negotiations between the U.S. and Iran remained strained, with threats of further economic pressure and a possible prolonged blockade keeping global markets focused on Middle East risks.

12. Strait of Hormuz

  • Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remained disrupted, while an incident involving an ADNOC vessel highlighted continuing risks to one of the world’s most important energy corridors.

13. Global Energy Security

  • Continued disruption around Middle Eastern shipping routes increased concerns about crude oil, LNG supplies, freight costs and global inflation pressures.

14. U.S. Drone Tariffs

  • The U.S. announced new tariffs on imported drones and components, including higher duties on certain products from major trading partners, reinforcing the broader trend toward strategic trade restrictions.

15. Global Equity Fund Flows

  • Global equity funds recorded a 12th consecutive week of net inflows, supported by strong corporate earnings and reduced expectations of near-term U.S. rate hikes.

16. AI Investment Cycle

  • Strong technology earnings continued to support global equity sentiment, while investors increasingly focused on whether large AI-related capital spending can generate sustainable business returns.

πŸ›οΈ Economic & Policy Developments

17. U.S. Producer Inflation

  • U.S. producer prices were unchanged in July, while annual PPI inflation eased to 4.7%, adding to evidence of moderating price pressures.

18. U.S. Retail Sales

  • U.S. retail sales unexpectedly declined, adding to signs of softer consumer momentum and reducing expectations of an immediate Federal Reserve rate increase.

19. India Retail Inflation

  • India’s July CPI inflation rose to 4.45%, remaining above the RBI’s 4% target for a second consecutive month, with rural inflation higher than urban inflation.

20. UK GDP

  • The UK economy expanded 0.4% in Q2 2026, supported by services and business investment, although growth slowed from the previous quarter.

21. Global Monetary Policy

  • Softer U.S. inflation and labor-market signals reduced expectations of an imminent rate increase, while persistent oil-driven inflation risks continued to complicate the global central-bank outlook.

22. Foreign Portfolio Flows into India

  • Foreign portfolio investors turned net buyers again, with β‚Ή16,621 crore flowing into Indian equities during the first half of August amid stronger earnings and changing global rate expectations.

πŸ›’οΈ Commodities & Currency Developments

23. Crude Oil

  • Brent crude climbed to around $88.50 per barrel as stalled U.S.–Iran negotiations and continued Hormuz disruptions increased concerns about energy supplies.

24. Natural Gas

  • Natural-gas markets remained sensitive to Middle East shipping disruptions and wider concerns about the availability and movement of global energy supplies.

25. Gold

  • Gold moved higher as geopolitical uncertainty, softer U.S. economic data and reduced expectations of near-term Fed tightening supported safe-haven demand.

26. Silver

  • Silver continued to benefit from broader precious-metals strength while also reflecting expectations surrounding industrial demand and global growth.

27. U.S. Dollar Index

  • The Dollar Index weakened toward the end of the week as softer U.S. retail and inflation-related data reduced expectations of an imminent rate increase.

28. Japanese Yen

  • The yen strengthened modestly as markets increased expectations of a possible Bank of Japan rate increase, while traders remained alert to further currency intervention.

29. Indian Rupee

  • The rupee remained sensitive to elevated crude prices, global dollar movements, foreign portfolio flows and continuing geopolitical risks in the Middle East.

πŸ“– Why It Matters

  • Crude oil remains the biggest external risk: Continued disruption around the Strait of Hormuz can influence inflation, the rupee, transportation costs and corporate margins.
  • U.S. rate expectations are shifting: Softer producer prices and weaker consumer data are reducing immediate rate-hike expectations, supporting global liquidity sentiment.
  • Corporate earnings remain important: Strong results across selected sectors are providing support, although company-specific earnings quality remains uneven.
  • Geopolitics continues to dominate: U.S.–Iran tensions and energy-security concerns remain important drivers of commodity prices and market volatility.
  • Foreign flows have improved: Renewed FPI buying provides an important change in the flow environment for Indian equities, alongside domestic earnings and macroeconomic signals.


Concept of the Week

Intrinsic Value vs. Time Value

Every option premium has two components:

Option Premium = Intrinsic Value + Time Value

1. Intrinsic Value

This is the value an option already has if exercised immediately.

For a Call:
Intrinsic Value = Spot Price βˆ’ Strike Price

For a Put:
Intrinsic Value = Strike Price βˆ’ Spot Price

If the result is negative, intrinsic value is zero.

2. Time Value

Time value is the additional premium traders are willing to pay because the option still has time to become more profitable.

It depends on factors such as:

  • Time remaining until expiry
  • Implied Volatility
  • Expected price movement

Example

Suppose NIFTY is at 25,200 and the 25,000 Call is trading at β‚Ή280.

  • Intrinsic Value = β‚Ή200
  • Time Value = β‚Ή80

So:

β‚Ή280 = β‚Ή200 Intrinsic Value + β‚Ή80 Time Value

As expiry approaches, the β‚Ή80 time value gradually erodes if other factors remain unchanged.

Why This Matters

An option can lose value even when the underlying doesn't move against you.

For example, if NIFTY stays around 25,200, the intrinsic value remains around β‚Ή200, but the time value can shrink rapidly as expiry approaches.
​

Community Win

Wisdom of the Week

β€œRisk comes from not knowing what you are doing.”
β€” Warren Buffett

Learning Takeaway

  • Uncertainty is a natural part of investing, but avoidable risk often comes from acting without sufficient understanding.
  • Successful investors spend time learning about businesses, markets, and their own decision-making process before taking action.
  • A practical lesson is to make informed decisions, stay within your circle of competence, and never let excitement replace preparation.


My Content of This Week

video preview​

​YouTube Video Link​

​Twitter Post Link​

Book I Am Reading and Recommend

Keep Learning. Keep Tradesting!!! πŸš€

Cheers,
​Tapas Chandra
​
SEBI Registered Research Analyst | INH000026381
PGP (Research Analysis) | CMT Level-2 Cleared |
Author – Invest or Regret | Ex-JPMorgan Chase

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